BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 279 Overall: (15-17) Overall Strength =   18.71
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (11-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L      24.51  54  70    1  57 (18-14) West Virginia           6.84    -22.84                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    L   *  -0.59  62  73    1 323 (10-23) Bucknell              -18.26      7.26                      
 3 11-11-2025 Away    W   *  20.45  74  66    1 349 ( 7-24) St Francis PA           2.77      5.23                      
 4 11-16-2025 Away    L      26.32  55  72    1  43 (18-15) Cincinnati              8.64    -25.64                      
 5 11-19-2025 Away    L      28.13  90  95 1  1 112 (12-21) Maryland               10.45    -15.45                      
 6 11-23-2025 Away    L   *  -1.33  60  83    1 264 (10-21) Western Michigan      -19.01     -3.99                      
 7 11-25-2025 Away    L      -6.05  60 113    1  25 (21-13) Ohio St               -23.73 *  -29.27                      
 8 11-29-2025 Home    W   *  25.65  79  75    1 201 (24-11) Howard                  7.97     -3.97                      
 9 12-03-2025 Home    L   *   7.37  80  87    1 294 (14-19) Sacred Heart          -10.31      3.31                      
10 12-05-2025 Away    L * *  18.93  56  64    1 194 (19-12) Marist                  1.25     -9.25                      
11 12-13-2025 Away    W   *  25.51  81  73    1 316 (12-20) Loyola MD               7.83      0.17                      
12 12-19-2025 Away    L   *  17.40  67  75    1 222 (17-16) Drexel                 -0.28     -7.72                      
13 12-21-2025 Home    W      10.38  73  42   ZZ 222 ( 0- 2) PSU-Brandywine         -7.29 *   38.29                      
14 12-29-2025 Home    W * *  24.84  66  59    1 252 (18-14) Ioan                    7.17     -0.17                      
15 01-02-2026 Away    L   *  16.73  65  75    1 196 (23-11) Merrimack              -0.95     -9.05                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  14.17  69  80    1 221 (19-13) Qunnipiac              -3.50     -7.50                      
17 01-09-2026 Home    W * *  22.79  70  65    1 250 (17-12) St Peter's              5.11     -0.11                      
18 01-11-2026 Home    L * *   4.85  50  67    1 206 (23-12) Siena                 -12.83     -4.17                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  23.79  78  68    1 336 (10-21) Canisius                6.11      3.89                      
20 01-19-2026 Away    W * *  24.69  68  58    1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara                 7.01      2.99                      
21 01-22-2026 Home    L * *   4.77  62  77    1 221 (19-13) Qunnipiac             -12.91     -2.09                      
22 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  16.19  71  61    1 350 ( 4-25) Rider                  -1.49     11.49                      
23 01-30-2026 Away    L * *  15.19  58  66    1 250 (17-12) St Peter's             -2.49     -5.51                      
24 02-01-2026 Home    W * *  17.11  72  65    1 329 (12-20) Manhattan              -0.57      7.57                      
25 02-05-2026 Home    L   *   4.32  70  87    1 196 (23-11) Merrimack             -13.36     -3.64                      
26 02-07-2026 Away    W * *  30.25  83  76    1 252 (18-14) Ioan                   12.57     -5.57                      
27 02-13-2026 Away    W * *  21.59  65  55    1 350 ( 4-25) Rider                   3.92      6.08                      
28 02-20-2026 Home    W * *  22.28  76  63    1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara                 4.60      8.40                      
29 02-22-2026 Home    W * *  29.38  68  47    1 336 (10-21) Canisius               11.71      9.29                      
30 02-27-2026 Away    L   *  11.78  69  77    1 294 (14-19) Sacred Heart           -5.90     -2.10                      
31 03-01-2026 Away    W * *  44.74  69  47    1 263 (21-13) Fairfield              27.06     -5.06                      
32 03-07-2026 Neutral L * *  19.55  58  63    1 206 (23-12) Siena                   1.87     -6.87                      
      Averages              17.68  68.1 70.1

Best game:   44.74 = 22 point win over Fairfield
Worst game:  -6.05 = 53 point loss to Ohio St
Team stdev:  10.75